Let’s start by stating the obvious. The hysteria surrounding the now famous memo attributed to Jim Comey – reportedly recounting Pres. Trump’s asking him to quash a rumored FBI probe of Gen. Michael Flynn’s contacts with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak – is just the latest iteration of a politically motivated witch hunt.
No human being – and certainly no government official – could withstand the microscopic scrutiny attending Trump’s every word and deed. But whipping up a frenzy whenever the chattering class thinks he’s blundered makes for snarky headlines and sexy atmospherics, driving clicks and creating constant theater.
And, more fundamentally, it furthers the end game of liberals and their mainstream media collaborators (one and the same): unseating a duly elected president by forcing him to justify a presumptively valid result they don’t like and refuse to accept, rather than their proving it tainted. That’s a brazen effort to subvert the democratic process. And, if successful, it will set a dangerous precedent long outlasting the reign of Donald J. Trump.
All that said, it doesn’t necessarily follow that the Comey allegations are legally insubstantial. The operative obstruction of justice statutes, sections 1503 and 1512 of the federal criminal code, are stunningly vague and broad. And the key concept at their root – acting with a “corrupt” purpose – is notoriously elusive. So elusive that the Supreme Court has limited its scope at least three times in my 25 years of practice.
It’s easy enough, then, to bring an obstruction charge. Making it stick is another story.
In a hypothetical criminal case, Trump would presumably deny that he asked Comey to scotch the Flynn investigation. Alternatively, Trump would argue that even if he did make the request, that’s all it was – a mere request lacking a corrupt purpose. The prosecution, on the other hand, would paint the request as an implicit threat and a corrupt attempt to impede.
As for the memo itself, it likely – though not definitively – ranks as inadmissible hearsay. For that reason, and since no one else reportedly heard the conversation (potentially by Trump's own design), Comey would have to take the stand to relate it. So the case would come down to a he said/he said swearing contest.
But Comey’s testimony would still be necessary even if the memo were ruled admissible. The request ascribed to Trump – assuming its occurrence – is cryptic, ambiguous and subject to competing interpretations. Comey’s impression of the request – whether Trump’s demeanor and tone suggested he was asking or telling Comey what to do – thus provides some insight into Trump’s state of mind (innocent vs. corrupt) when making it, an inherently circumstantial inquiry. And Comey’s impression probably can’t be gleaned from a cold memo alone.
Precisely because Trump’s intent must be proved circumstantially, the prosecution would urge the jury to infer it not only from the request itself, but also from the Jan. dinner where Trump reportedly sought a loyalty pledge and Comey’s firing several weeks after tacitly rebuffing the request. Too, the prosecution would stress Trump’s shifting explanations in the wake of the firing – some admitting that the Russia probe played a role – much as the travel ban challengers claim his stump statements show discriminatory intent.
Together, the prosecution would argue, the explanations and events just rehearsed – the Jan. dinner, the request to drop the investigation and the firing not long after – form a straight line pointing to a corrupt purpose and conviction. Conversely, Trump might – and should if it comes to it – try to discredit Comey by highlighting his confessed nausea over possibly swaying the election, and arguing that he’s trying to make up for his ostensible improprieties by working to take Trump down.
How this all plays out is anyone’s guess. But impeachment and criminal prosecution are more than fanciful prospects – especially in the current political climate.